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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

19%
1h-1 pts
17%18%19%20%21%

repriced -1 pts in 1h; now 19%; resolves in 4 months.

Market Data

Resolves4 months
Sourcepolymarket
Volume 24h$166,476

Market-implied probabilities, not facts. Not financial advice. Thin markets can be manipulated.