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Economics
Top 20 economics markets ranked by total volume (resolving within 12 months).
economics
high
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $58.3M
1%
economics
high
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $49.6M
1%
economics
high
Markets See Only 6% Chance of Fed Cutting Rates in March 2026
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $17.4M
6%
economics
high
Markets Strongly Expect Fed to Hold Rates Steady in March 2026
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $16.2M
93%
economics
high
U.S. Revenue Collection in 2025 Unlikely to Hit $500B-$1T
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $2.6M
0%
economics
high
High Probability U.S. Revenue Falls Below $100B in 2025
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $1.6M
93%
economics
high
Markets See Only 9% Chance of No Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
9 months
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $1.4M
11%
economics
high
Low Probability for U.S. Revenue Between $100B and $200B in 2025
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $1.4M
2%
economics
high
Markets See Only 3% Chance of Six Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
9 months
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $1.1M
3%
economics
medium
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $993.3K
0%
economics
high
Low Probability for U.S. Revenue Reaching $200-$500B in 2025
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $833.7K
4%
economics
high
Markets See Only 2% Chance of Fed Cutting Rates by 50+ bps in April 2026
26 days
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $822.3K
2%
economics
high
U.S. Unlikely to Collect $1-2 Trillion in Revenue in 2025
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $727.3K
0%
economics
high
Markets See Only 2% Chance of Powell Leaving Fed by March 2026
1 months
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $639.2K
2%
economics
high
U.S. Revenue Unlikely to Exceed $2 Trillion in 2025, Market Indicates
Resolved
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $634.5K
0%
economics
high
Markets See Only 2% Chance of 12 Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
9 months
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $613.2K
2%
economics
high
Markets See Only 1% Chance of Opinion FDV Exceeding $3B Post-Launch
9 months
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $522.8K
1%
economics
medium
Markets Split on Potential Pizza Hut Acquisition by 2027
9 months
|
polymarket
|
Total Vol $514.5K
44%