Economics

Top 20 economics markets ranked by total volume (resolving within 12 months).

economicshigh

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?

Resolved|polymarket|Total Vol $993.3K

economicshigh

Low Probability for U.S. Revenue Reaching $200-$500B in 2025

Resolved|polymarket|Total Vol $833.7K

economicshigh

Markets See Only 2% Chance of Fed Cutting Rates by 50+ bps in April 2026

26 days|polymarket|Total Vol $822.3K

economicshigh

U.S. Unlikely to Collect $1-2 Trillion in Revenue in 2025

Resolved|polymarket|Total Vol $727.3K

economicshigh

Markets See Only 2% Chance of Powell Leaving Fed by March 2026

1 months|polymarket|Total Vol $639.2K

economicshigh

U.S. Revenue Unlikely to Exceed $2 Trillion in 2025, Market Indicates

Resolved|polymarket|Total Vol $634.5K

economicshigh

Markets See Only 2% Chance of 12 Fed Rate Cuts in 2026

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $613.2K

economicshigh

Markets See Only 1% Chance of Opinion FDV Exceeding $3B Post-Launch

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $522.8K

economicsmedium

Markets Split on Potential Pizza Hut Acquisition by 2027

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $514.5K

44%

Economics

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Markets See Only 6% Chance of Fed Cutting Rates in March 2026

Markets Strongly Expect Fed to Hold Rates Steady in March 2026

U.S. Revenue Collection in 2025 Unlikely to Hit $500B-$1T

High Probability U.S. Revenue Falls Below $100B in 2025

Markets See Only 9% Chance of No Fed Rate Cuts in 2026

Low Probability for U.S. Revenue Between $100B and $200B in 2025

Markets See Only 3% Chance of Six Fed Rate Cuts in 2026

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?

Low Probability for U.S. Revenue Reaching $200-$500B in 2025

Markets See Only 2% Chance of Fed Cutting Rates by 50+ bps in April 2026

U.S. Unlikely to Collect $1-2 Trillion in Revenue in 2025

Markets See Only 2% Chance of Powell Leaving Fed by March 2026

U.S. Revenue Unlikely to Exceed $2 Trillion in 2025, Market Indicates

Markets See Only 2% Chance of 12 Fed Rate Cuts in 2026

Markets See Only 1% Chance of Opinion FDV Exceeding $3B Post-Launch

Markets Split on Potential Pizza Hut Acquisition by 2027

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Markets See Only 6% Chance of Fed Cutting Rates in March 2026

Markets Strongly Expect Fed to Hold Rates Steady in March 2026

U.S. Revenue Collection in 2025 Unlikely to Hit $500B-$1T

High Probability U.S. Revenue Falls Below $100B in 2025

Markets See Only 9% Chance of No Fed Rate Cuts in 2026

Low Probability for U.S. Revenue Between $100B and $200B in 2025

Markets See Only 3% Chance of Six Fed Rate Cuts in 2026

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?

Low Probability for U.S. Revenue Reaching $200-$500B in 2025

Markets See Only 2% Chance of Fed Cutting Rates by 50+ bps in April 2026

U.S. Unlikely to Collect $1-2 Trillion in Revenue in 2025

Markets See Only 2% Chance of Powell Leaving Fed by March 2026

U.S. Revenue Unlikely to Exceed $2 Trillion in 2025, Market Indicates

Markets See Only 2% Chance of 12 Fed Rate Cuts in 2026

Markets See Only 1% Chance of Opinion FDV Exceeding $3B Post-Launch

Markets Split on Potential Pizza Hut Acquisition by 2027