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Politics

Top 20 politics markets ranked by total volume (resolving within 12 months).

Market-implied probabilities, not facts. Not financial advice. Thin markets can be manipulated.

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $88.9M

Markets Strongly Expect Kevin Warsh to Be Next Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $41.1M

Markets See 0% Chance of Kevin Hassett Becoming Next Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $28.6M

Markets See Only 12% Chance of Trump Acquiring Greenland by 2027

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $28.1M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating Powell as Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $27.6M

Markets See 0% Chance of Rick Rieder as Next Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $25.4M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating Bill Pulte as Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $24.4M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating Himself as Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $23.5M

Markets See 0% Chance of Christopher Waller Becoming Next Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $22.9M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating Yellen as Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $21.3M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating Arthur Laffer for Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $21.1M

Markets See 0% Chance of Barron Trump as Next Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $20.8M

Markets See 0% Chance of Michelle Bowman as Next Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $20.7M

Markets See No Chance Trump Will Nominate No One Before 2027

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $18.9M

Markets See 0% Chance of Stephen Miran Becoming Next Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $18.8M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating David Zervos as Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $17.9M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating Scott Bessent for Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $16.6M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating Ron Paul as Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $12.6M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating Philip Jefferson as Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $10.8M

Markets See 0% Chance of Trump Nominating Larry Kudlow as Fed Chair

9 months|polymarket|Total Vol $10.3M