medium
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
45%
1h+2 pts
repriced +2 pts in 1h; now 45%; resolves in 4 months.
Market-implied probabilities, not facts. Not financial advice. Thin markets can be manipulated.
repriced +2 pts in 1h; now 45%; resolves in 4 months.
Market-implied probabilities, not facts. Not financial advice. Thin markets can be manipulated.