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The news before it happens
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Markets with the largest probability repricing in the last 24 hours — the news before it happens.
sports
medium
Markets See No Chance of Arsenal Winning on February 18, 2026
Resolved
|
polymarket
0%
high
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Resolved
|
polymarket
59%
medium
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
Resolved
|
polymarket
0%
crypto
medium
Low Probability of BitBoy Conviction by 2026, Market Shows
Resolved
|
polymarket
65%
medium
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
3 months
|
polymarket
62%
medium
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Resolved
|
polymarket
100%
high
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
2 months
|
polymarket
5%
medium
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Resolved
|
polymarket
0%
medium
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?
Resolved
|
polymarket
100%
medium
Rio Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Resolved
|
polymarket
0%
high
37% Chance of $100-150B Federal Spending Cuts in 2025
Resolved
|
polymarket
1%
high
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
Resolved
|
polymarket
16%
medium
yes James Harden: 2+,yes Kon Knueppel: 2+,yes LaMelo Ball: 2+,yes Jalen Johnson: 8+,yes James Harden: 6+,yes Derrick White: 4+,yes Nikola Jokić: 10+,yes Cade Cunningham: 6+,yes Alperen Sengun: 4+,yes Stephon Castle: 6+,yes Scottie Barnes: 4+,yes Jalen Johnson: 10+,yes Nikola Vučević: 6+,yes Nikola Jokić: 10+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 8+,yes Alperen Sengun: 9+,yes Paolo Banchero: 6+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 8+,yes Scottie Barnes: 6+
Resolved
|
kalshi
25%
high
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Resolved
|
polymarket
0%
medium
Will AC Milan vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
Resolved
|
polymarket
100%
high
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Resolved
|
polymarket
100%
high
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Resolved
|
polymarket
10%
high
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Resolved
|
polymarket
16%
sports
medium
Markets See No Chance of Atlético Madrid Winning on February 18, 2026
Resolved
|
polymarket
0%
high
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Resolved
|
polymarket
81%
high
Hawks vs. 76ers
Resolved
|
polymarket
49%
high
Federal Spending Cuts Under $50B in 2025 Show 55% Probability
Resolved
|
polymarket
96%
sports
medium
Markets See No Chance of AC Milan Victory on February 18, 2026
Resolved
|
polymarket
0%
high
Manchester City Faces 39% Odds to Win 2025–26 Premier League
1 months
|
polymarket
40%
high
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Resolved
|
polymarket
17%
high
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Resolved
|
polymarket
82%
high
Arsenal's Chances of Winning 2025–26 Premier League at 59%
1 months
|
polymarket
59%
economics
medium
Markets Split on Potential Pizza Hut Acquisition by 2027
9 months
|
polymarket
44%
medium
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Resolved
|
polymarket
23%
high
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Resolved
|
polymarket
44%
medium
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?
Resolved
|
polymarket
23%
medium
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
Resolved
|
polymarket
38%
high
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
2 months
|
polymarket
79%
medium
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
9 months
|
polymarket
39%
medium
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Unknown
|
polymarket
41%
high
Markets Split on Israel Striking Iran by February 2026
Resolved
|
polymarket
23%
medium
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?
Resolved
|
polymarket
0%
high
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Resolved
|
polymarket
27%
high
Markets Split on Potential US or Israeli Strike on Iran by 2026
9 months
|
polymarket
28%
medium
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?
Resolved
|
polymarket
0%
world
medium
Low Probability of Harvey Weinstein Receiving 5-10 Year Sentence
Resolved
|
polymarket
18%
world
medium
Harvey Weinstein Faces 39% Probability of 20-30 Year Sentence
Resolved
|
polymarket
24%
sports
medium
USA Expected to Win Men's Quarterfinals Against Sweden
Resolved
|
polymarket
100%
medium
Markets See Only 12% Chance of Nebius Group Acquisition by 2027
9 months
|
polymarket
10%
high
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Resolved
|
polymarket
69%
high
Markets See 75% Chance US Will Avoid Striking Iran by Early 2026
Resolved
|
polymarket
76%
medium
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)
Resolved
|
polymarket
55%
medium
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
9 months
|
polymarket
42%
medium
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
8 days
|
polymarket
30%
medium
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
Resolved
|
polymarket
27%