Markets on Polymarket currently assign a 1% probability to Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by February 2026, signaling significant skepticism about a near-term price surge.
Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has seen dramatic price swings in the past, including a peak near $69,000 in late 2021. However, recent market conditions, including tighter monetary policy and regulatory uncertainty, have tempered bullish sentiment. While some crypto enthusiasts continue to predict a six-figure valuation, traders appear unconvinced such a milestone is achievable within the next few months.
This market, tracked by PreNews, reflects robust liquidity and trading volume, lending credibility to the pricing signal. With the resolution date set for March 1, 2026, the market will settle based on whether Bitcoin’s price on February 29, 2026, exceeds $100,000. For now, traders remain cautious, pricing the scenario as highly unlikely.