Markets on Polymarket currently assign just a 1% probability to Gina Raimondo securing the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, signaling significant skepticism about her prospects.
Raimondo, the U.S. Secretary of Commerce since 2021, has gained visibility for her role in trade negotiations and economic policy under the Biden administration. However, her relatively low national profile and lack of a clear political base may explain why traders are discounting her chances in a competitive Democratic field.
The 2028 race remains far off, with no declared candidates yet, but figures like Vice President Kamala Harris and Governor Gavin Newsom are often mentioned as potential frontrunners. Raimondo's current standing in prediction markets reflects the challenges of breaking through in a crowded and high-stakes primary.
This market, tracked by PreNews, is highly liquid with over $1 million in liquidity and resolves after the Democratic nominee is officially determined in November 2028.