Markets on Polymarket currently price 0% probability that Sweden will win the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics, signaling strong skepticism about the country's chances.
Sweden, known for its prowess in winter sports like cross-country skiing and biathlon, has historically been a strong contender in the Winter Games. However, nations like Norway, Germany, and the United States have dominated the gold medal tally in recent years, leaving Sweden as an underdog for the top spot.
The market's pricing reflects this competitive landscape, as well as the likelihood that powerhouse nations will continue to lead in medal counts. With the event set to take place in Milan and Cortina d'Ampezzo, Italy, the final resolution of this market will occur on February 22, 2026, at the conclusion of the Games.
PreNews notes that the market's high liquidity and $148,103 in available funds lend credibility to this forecast.