Markets on Polymarket currently assign a 0% probability to the formation of a coalition government between the Dutch Party for Freedom (PVV) and the Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA). This reflects strong skepticism among traders about the viability of such an alliance.
The PVV, led by Geert Wilders, is known for its far-right stance on immigration and Euroscepticism, while the CDA represents a center-right, pro-European position. Historically, these ideological differences have made collaboration between the two parties unlikely. Recent Dutch elections and coalition negotiations have often been complex, with no single party able to secure a majority, necessitating broad alliances.
The high liquidity and trading volume in this market suggest confidence in the 0% pricing. As of now, there is no resolution timeline for this prediction, but PreNews will continue to monitor developments in Dutch coalition talks.