Markets on Polymarket assign 0% probability to the formation of a Dutch coalition government comprising the populist PVV, the center-right VVD, and the centrist D66 parties. This reflects significant skepticism about the feasibility of such an alliance.
The Netherlands recently held parliamentary elections, with coalition-building now underway. The PVV, led by Geert Wilders, is known for its far-right stance, while VVD and D66 hold more centrist and liberal positions, making ideological alignment challenging. Historically, Dutch coalition negotiations are complex and can take months, as parties must reconcile policy differences to form a majority government.
PreNews notes that while this market has moderate liquidity, traders appear confident that such a coalition is politically untenable. The market remains open, but with no resolution timeline specified, the probability currently holds at 0%.