Markets on Polymarket are pricing a 0% probability that the next Dutch government will be formed by a coalition of the VVD (People's Party for Freedom and Democracy) and the CDA (Christian Democratic Appeal). This reflects significant skepticism among traders about the likelihood of this political alignment.
The VVD, led by outgoing Prime Minister Mark Rutte, has historically been a dominant force in Dutch politics, while the CDA has been a frequent coalition partner. However, recent elections and political dynamics have complicated coalition-building efforts. Rutte announced his departure from politics earlier this year, leaving the VVD in a transitional phase, while the CDA has seen diminished electoral support.
With coalition talks ongoing and a fragmented political landscape, traders appear to discount any scenario involving a VVD-CDA partnership.
This market, which has seen $91,238 in 24-hour volume and maintains strong liquidity, offers a reliable signal. It will resolve based on the official announcement of the next Dutch government.