Markets on Polymarket currently assign a 0% probability to Stephen Miran being nominated as the next Federal Reserve chair by Donald Trump, should Trump regain the presidency. This reflects significant skepticism among traders about Miran's prospects for the role.
Stephen Miran, a former Treasury official and co-founder of Amberwave Partners, has been a vocal critic of the Federal Reserve's recent monetary policies. While his economic expertise and prior government experience make him a plausible candidate, the market's pricing suggests he is not seen as a serious contender. This could be due to a lack of public indications from Trump regarding Miran or stronger speculation around other potential nominees.
The market's 0% probability is based on high liquidity and significant trading volume, making it a reliable signal. The market is set to resolve by December 31, 2026, depending on the official nomination process. PreNews will continue to monitor developments in this space.