Markets currently assign a 0% probability to Arsenal, Atlanta United, AC Milan, Inter Milan, Atletico Madrid, and Bayer Leverkusen all winning their respective leagues by the end of the 2025-2026 season. The data, sourced from Kalshi, reflects skepticism about the likelihood of this multi-team outcome.
Each of these teams competes in highly competitive leagues, including the Premier League, Serie A, La Liga, Bundesliga, and Major League Soccer. Winning a league title requires consistent performance across an entire season, often against well-funded rivals. While some of these clubs are historically strong contenders, the combined probability of all six achieving league victories appears negligible to traders.
It is worth noting that this market has low liquidity, meaning the pricing may not fully reflect broader sentiment. The market resolves on March 4, 2026, when the respective league seasons conclude. PreNews will continue monitoring developments in these leagues.