Markets on Kalshi currently assign a 0% probability to the scenario where Bodø/Glimt, Atletico Madrid, Bayer Leverkusen, Inter Milan, and Newcastle United all advance in their respective European competitions by March 2026. This reflects significant skepticism among traders about the likelihood of such an outcome.
The teams in question represent a mix of clubs competing in UEFA tournaments, including the Champions League and Europa League. While some, such as Atletico and Inter, have strong records in European football, others like Bodø/Glimt and Newcastle face tougher paths due to competition strength and recent form. The market's low confidence may stem from the difficulty of all five teams succeeding simultaneously, as well as the unpredictability of knockout-stage football.
Given the low trust in this market due to thin liquidity and lack of trading volume, the 0% figure should be interpreted cautiously. The market resolves in March 2026, aligning with the conclusion of UEFA tournaments that season.