Markets on Kalshi currently assign a 0% probability to a scenario where multiple college basketball teams, including Colorado State, Gonzaga, Bryant, Liberty, Austin Peay, Winthrop, UMass Lowell, and Vermont, advance in their respective competitions by March 2026.
This reflects significant skepticism among traders, though the market's low trust level and thin liquidity suggest caution in interpreting this figure. Such markets can be prone to manipulation or lack sufficient participation to reflect broader sentiment accurately.
The teams listed represent a mix of mid-major and high-profile programs, with Gonzaga being a perennial NCAA tournament contender. However, the inclusion of smaller programs like Austin Peay and UMass Lowell may explain the market's lack of confidence in this outcome.
PreNews notes that this market resolves in March 2026, based on whether all listed teams advance in their respective competitions. For now, traders appear to see no realistic path for this scenario, pricing it at 0% probability.