Markets on Kalshi currently assign a 0% probability that Gonzaga, Illinois, and St. John's will all win their respective basketball games by more than their assigned point spreads. Gonzaga is expected to win by over 2.5 points, Illinois by over 3.5 points, and St. John's by over 3.5 points, but traders appear highly skeptical of this combined outcome.
The low probability reflects market doubt, though thin liquidity in this market suggests caution in interpreting the odds. Betting markets can be influenced by a lack of participation or concentrated positions, which may not fully reflect broader sentiment.
This market resolves on March 5, 2026, based on the final game outcomes. PreNews will continue monitoring developments as the games approach.